Ipsos Ideas: Don’t Stop Believing…

For July, Ipsos Ideas examines a variety of topics relevant to helping you succeed. From improving brand performance, to plotting your customers’ next move, to unlocking the mysteries of technology obsessed world, our researchers are constantly working to offer better solutions and better advice to help you achieve better results. You’d better believe it…we are committed to your success.

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A, RV, LV (All adults, registered voters, likely voters)? Population effects in public opinion polling

As we count down to the November general election, opinion research outfits (like us) are going to release an ever-increasing number and variety of election poll results. Poll aggregation sites (link) help polling consumers make sense of this barrage of data by presenting the average results of the most recent polls. The running average is supposed to iron-out potential outliers or the idiosyncrasies of any one poll to provide a stable, and accurate, benchmark. However, aggregation sites also combine surveys of differing (though overlapping) populations, specifically all Americans, registered voters and likely voters. Do these different populations have different profiles and could they be systematically skewing the aggregator average?

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Urgent Care Needed for Dual Eligible Healthcare Payment Programs

There are approximately 9 million people in the U.S. who are “dual eligible.” These people are elderly or disabled and low-income. As a result they are eligible for both Medicare and Medicaid. This population includes some of the sickest and poorest Americans. They account for 20% of Medicare beneficiaries but 31% of its spending. They…

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A Game of Inches #1: Obama’s Lukewarm Faithful

The Obama-Romney match up is shaping up to be a nail biter. Our most recent Reuters-Ipsos poll has them in a statistical deadheat; other polls show a similar narrowing. Part of this trend is without a doubt a direct result of a dip in economic optimism, a dysfunctional Europe and lousy jobs report. But this variability is also just the natural ebb and flow of the election. Sometimes you are up; other times you are down.

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Wisconsin is all noise: Obama will still win in November

The sitting Republican Governor of Wisconsin Scott Walker beat the Democratic challenger Tom Barrett 53% to 46% yesterday in a recall election. Many pundits had touted Wisconsin as a political bellweather— “as goes Wisconsin, so goes the nation in November and beyond”. A Walker victory signals a resurgent Republican party with its revamped small government, collective-bargaining-busting mantra. In contrast, a Walker loss would be a strong ‘proof point’ that the Obama agenda is here to stay.

Well, Walker won in Wisconsin.

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Ipsos Ideas: Get Into the Groove…

Research can help take you where you need to go. Whether building a better brand, seeking that right target audience, planning for the future or bringing back your most profitable customers, research is the catalyst you need to make it all happen. The June issue of Ipsos Ideas connects these matters with thoughts and findings on a number of topics no doubt important to your business.

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Public opinion research giving a voice to global citizens

Using public opinion to give voice to citizens was the goal of this project by La Trope University, Australia.

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Just cause you lean don’t make you a pushover: Party Identification Measurement in Polling

Party identification, i.e. self-identification as a Republican, Democrat, Independent or something else, is one of the most valuable pieces of information modern electoral pollsters collect about their respondents. Armed with party ID information, we can make pretty accurate guesses about how people feel about issues, what stories will appeal to them and, ultimately, how they will vote. It is an essential poll metric for undertaking any type of socio-political analysis of a population. Some research organizations even use it as a weighting variable. However there are two challenges inherent to measuring party ID: 1) there is no industry-standard, foolproof way of identifying party ID, and 2) there are no “true population” statistics for party ID against which we can benchmark our measurements.

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The Groupon Phenomenon

Within CPG, the impact of so-called “daily deals” today really rests on their ability to impact traditional marketing drivers such as awareness, distribution, trial and repeat.   At a minimum a service like Groupon can be used to launch new products, induce trial, and create another distribution channel.  Beyond that, if these services can truly be made to be social (though such examples are few at this point), the value increases exponentially. So experiment now.  But do start with an end objective in mind, like you would with any marketing initiative.

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Building Reputation in Higher Education

In a paper published today by Ipsos Public Affairs explains how higher education institutions can utilize research to understand the higher education landscape, define their unique brand, profile potential students and build and communicate their reputation to key target audiences.

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