Articles Posted in Public Opinion


Trump at the Precipice: The 39-Point Tipping Point

The scandals swirling around President Trump seem to have no end and have undoubtedly taken their toll. Both Democrats and pundits have already begun talking about impeachment, although these discussions are highly caveated at this point. This leaves us asking: is President Trump truly in political danger as many believe? This question can be addressed…

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Tax Reform: It Is Not a Slam Dunk

This Wednesday President Trump will announce his tax reform plan.  There is much speculation around both its tone and its specificity.  At first blush, tax reform may appear to be pretty straightforward—indeed tax cuts for all!   But peeling away the onion, what tax reform reveals is a mine field of problems.  Ultimately, the devil is…

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President Trump Could Use a “Better Way”

This article was originally posted on Huffington Post.   Donald Trump entered office with a relatively weak position according to public opinion. His job approval has rarely gone above 50% and currently sits in the high 30% / low 40% range per the Huffington Post/Pollster average. Over the course of his presidency, Trump has seen…

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Decoding America’s Immigration Sentiment

As published in The Huffington Post, March 13, 2017 Last Monday the White House issued its ‘revised’ refugee ban engineered to pass constitutional muster. This affords yet another flashpoint in the young life of this administration, where pundits and opportunists will draw battle lines between ‘allies’ and ‘opponents’ with all constituents divided into tribes. However,…

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Media manipulating same data to drive different narratives

You can find the original version of this article in The Hill.  We pollsters frequently make claims about the beliefs of “most Americans.” We make these generalizations to help make complicated patterns in data easier to understand. However, in the reporting of our work, we often see these broad simplifications stretched to almost caricature-levels, leading…

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Americans Familiar with Affordable Care Act are its Strongest Supporters

A unique new study Ipsos/NPR study shows that opinions vary dramatically as does the understanding of key facts

People have opinions. That’s a fact. In the democratic process, citizens express their opinions directly by voting. In a perfect democracy – the democracy many policy makers and pundits think we live in – citizens make those decisions based on the facts in a well-informed, rational way. Voters ideally should understand the issues and then vote in the way that benefits them and advances their views.

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Public Opinion on Healthcare

Healthcare has jumped as a priority with Americans over the last few months as salience on the issue has increased. Since the implementation of ACA and related programs, the insurance non-coverage rate declined from 18.2% to 10.5%. This represents 20 million people. Even with increased coverage, support for the ACA, or Obamacare, is roughly split…

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Attitudes Toward Trade

Americans are most focused on domestic issues: in particular, economy and jobs. A very strong majority of Americans see international trade as an important policy focus. However, they do have serious reservations and believe that the US gets the “short end of the stick” on trade deals. Specifically, they see international trade as a primary…

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Public Opinion’s Agenda and Trump: Economic Growth, Healthcare, Immigration, and Infrastructure

The Trump administration will face a public agenda which is mostly domestic in focus.  The American public’s number one priority is jobs and the economy.  Terrorism as a concern comes in second and is especially important among Republicans. Immigration On immigration, a majority of Americans support Trump’s policy prescriptions as laid out in his Arizona…

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The Election Might Be Crazy, but the Polling Numbers Aren’t

It looks like this absurd and lurid presidential election will remain unpredictable until the end. Between the FBI’s on-again, off-again investigations of Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton’s emails, the “you can do anything” comments from Republican rival Donald Trump—not to mention the unexpected injection of Anthony Weiner’s ongoing sexting habits—it’s hardly surprising that the polls seem…

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