Trump’s “America First” in Historical Context: Historical Resonance of Anti-Immigrant Rhetoric

Trump has been winning on his “Make America Great Again” appeal. His message has a strong “American-First” and “Nativist” undertone which resonates. How has this rhetoric played out over time? Is it on the rise in the US? Simple answer is no; it is not on the rise. Indeed, it is quite stable over the…

Read More...

Trump, It’s the Men Stupid!?: The Great March Implosion

Over the last week, Trump’s numbers across the board have tanked: fav scores, likability, primary vote share, general election vote share, etc.  This implosion has been attributed (and rightly so) to Trump’s consistent and relentless slights against women. No need to cite the events as the list is very long. So it’s Women that…

Read More...

Social Media May Not Be the Democratic Force We Thought It Was

On Federal Election Day, 2015, over 770,000 Tweets were sent out into the Twittersphere in Canada, but new data shows that the high volume of social media posts may not be reaching a new audience. Despite the early promise and the increased use of social media to discuss politics and policy issues, fewer Canadians have…

Read More...

Trump’s “America First” in Global Context: Global Resonance of Anti-Immigrant Rhetoric

Trump has been winning on his “Make America Great” appeal His message has a strong “American-First” and “Anti-Immigrant” undertone which resonates with the Republican base. How does this rhetoric play out in global context? A strong plurality of global citizens (41%) believes that immigrants take jobs away from their countrymen. Additionally, a near majority of…

Read More...

Republicans seen as stronger on Terrorism: Impact of Brussels-like events on US politics

Electorally speaking, terrorist attacks like the one in Brussels are more likely to benefit Republicans than Democrats. Republicans historically have been seen as more credible on “terrorism” and “foreign policy”. The March 2016 Ipsos/Reuters poll puts Republicans at a 7-point advantage on “the war on terror”. Typically, after an attack, public concern about terrorism spikes…

Read More...

Turnout and the D-R “Enthusiasm Gap”

My working hypothesis is that “swing voters” are mostly a myth created by pollsters (SORRY) and the media. The idea that there is some large swath of the population who, despite our nation’s immensely partisan tendencies, are compelled to fairly regularly change the party the vote for between D and R from election to election seems too fantastical. Party identity in the US is deeply rooted in values and identity, and not fleeting fancy. Of course we know there are some genuine swing voters out there, but not – in my view – in the numbers popularly conceived.

Read More...

Why Politicians Should Be Paying Attention to What Canadians say Online

Consulting with citizens on government plans, priorities and programs is no doubt necessary and a great way to ensure that Canadians are involved in government decision making. It has risen to prominence over the last few decades while at the same time Canadians have become more demanding of transparency and accountability for public sector actions…

Read More...

Ipsos Analysis of Donald Trump’s Climb to 1,237 Delegates

The notion of a contested convention for the Republican presidential nomination has gained traction over the last several weeks. A contested convention (also known as a brokered convention) would occur in the event that none of the Republican nominees were able to reach the 1,237 delegate threshold needed in order to clinch the nomination.

Read More...

For Tweens and Teens, Imperfect is the New Perfect

One need look no further than a before and after picture of the Kardashian family to understand that beauty can, in fact, be bought. For teens and tweens with their “anyone can be famous” mentality, beauty and notoriety appear to be the ultimate goal. However, we are seeing a lash back from Gen Z and…

Read More...

TOMAmeter February 2016 – Awards Season Dominates

  February brought along with it an eventful awards season, with the Oscars on ABC and the Grammys on CBS among the top television programs for the month, at #7 and #8 in the TOMAmeter respectively. Also near the top of the rankings was coverage of Super Bowl 50 between the Carolina Panthers and Denver…

Read More...
Page 4 of 47« First...345...1020...Last »