Trump is a symptom of the decline of American institutions

Donald Trump (and to a lesser degree Bernie Sanders) are contemporary political phenomenon. The two outsider candidates — one having essentially won a major party nomination, the other still mounting a significant challenge– have enjoyed more success than any other “outsider” candidate in a generation. The question we hear more often than any is: how…

Read More...

TOMAmeter April 2016 – Game of Thrones is Coming

The month of April brings with it the rise of HBO’s Game of Thrones, which fell just a few mentions short of AMC’s The Walking Dead despite only premiering toward the back half of the month. In fact, among several key demographic groups, including P18-49, Game of Thrones surpassed AMC’s zombie show for the month.…

Read More...

Poll Modeling Says: No, Bernie Sanders Is Not More Electable

Bernie Sanders, facing a virtually insurmountable climb to win the Democratic nomination through pledged delegates, has turned to trying to convince superdelegates that he is more electable. Sanders is doing this by pointing at current polling which does indeed show him performing stronger against Donald Trump or the other Republicans than Hillary Clinton. As a pollster, I’d like to make sure folks understand that this “theory” is got more than a touch of wishful thinking in it.

Read More...

Mental Health on the Minds of Canadians

Mental health is becoming an increasing challenge as the proportion of Canadians who are classified as “High Risk” on Ipsos’ Mental Health Risk Index inches up over the last year — from 33% to 35%. Three-in-ten (29%) Canadians also report that their mental health has disrupted their lives in some way in the past year.…

Read More...

“Taking America Back”: Reasons and Meaning

Trump has forcefully pushed a strong “American Exceptionalism” rejuvenation narrative typified by his campaign slogan— “MAKE America Great Again!” Often Trump operationalizes this slogan in speeches as “we need to take America back” or some derivation thereof. To what degree do people agree with the message? And why? Republicans are much more likely than Democrats…

Read More...

TOMAmeter March 2016 – March is Netflix’s Month

Late February and March brought a whole lot of new programming, and as a result, several new programs from Netflix entered the TOMAmeter for the month of March. Among the big movers and shakers, we see that Fuller House, which debuted on February 26, as well as House of Cards, which debuted its fourth season…

Read More...

Trump’s “America First” in Historical Context: Historical Resonance of Anti-Immigrant Rhetoric

Trump has been winning on his “Make America Great Again” appeal. His message has a strong “American-First” and “Nativist” undertone which resonates. How has this rhetoric played out over time? Is it on the rise in the US? Simple answer is no; it is not on the rise. Indeed, it is quite stable over the…

Read More...

Trump, It’s the Men Stupid!?: The Great March Implosion

Over the last week, Trump’s numbers across the board have tanked: fav scores, likability, primary vote share, general election vote share, etc.  This implosion has been attributed (and rightly so) to Trump’s consistent and relentless slights against women. No need to cite the events as the list is very long. So it’s Women that…

Read More...

Social Media May Not Be the Democratic Force We Thought It Was

On Federal Election Day, 2015, over 770,000 Tweets were sent out into the Twittersphere in Canada, but new data shows that the high volume of social media posts may not be reaching a new audience. Despite the early promise and the increased use of social media to discuss politics and policy issues, fewer Canadians have…

Read More...

Trump’s “America First” in Global Context: Global Resonance of Anti-Immigrant Rhetoric

Trump has been winning on his “Make America Great” appeal His message has a strong “American-First” and “Anti-Immigrant” undertone which resonates with the Republican base. How does this rhetoric play out in global context? A strong plurality of global citizens (41%) believes that immigrants take jobs away from their countrymen. Additionally, a near majority of…

Read More...
Page 2 of 46123...1020...Last »