Articles Posted in Public Affairs


It’s Nativism: Explaining the Drivers of Trump’s Popular Support

Introduction A year ago who would have believed it—Trump the presumptive nominee for the Republican party! For the longest time, most expected Trump would implode. But to the prognosticators chagrin this did not happen. I personally began to question my own assumptions about Trump during the summer of 2015. At that time, Trump was in…

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Teacher, who’s Wally Street and why did he steal my parents’ money when he crashed?

Before joining the world of market research, I was a financial advisor and ran my own office for a large financial services firm. In order to prepare me for this, I had to undertake an intense training program, where I learned about bears, bulls, calls, puts, dividends, diversifying portfolios, balanced mutual funds, and the list…

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Trump is a symptom of the decline of American institutions

Donald Trump (and to a lesser degree Bernie Sanders) are contemporary political phenomenon. The two outsider candidates — one having essentially won a major party nomination, the other still mounting a significant challenge– have enjoyed more success than any other “outsider” candidate in a generation. The question we hear more often than any is: how…

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Poll Modeling Says: No, Bernie Sanders Is Not More Electable

Bernie Sanders, facing a virtually insurmountable climb to win the Democratic nomination through pledged delegates, has turned to trying to convince superdelegates that he is more electable. Sanders is doing this by pointing at current polling which does indeed show him performing stronger against Donald Trump or the other Republicans than Hillary Clinton. As a pollster, I’d like to make sure folks understand that this “theory” is got more than a touch of wishful thinking in it.

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Mental Health on the Minds of Canadians

Mental health is becoming an increasing challenge as the proportion of Canadians who are classified as “High Risk” on Ipsos’ Mental Health Risk Index inches up over the last year — from 33% to 35%. Three-in-ten (29%) Canadians also report that their mental health has disrupted their lives in some way in the past year.…

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“Taking America Back”: Reasons and Meaning

Trump has forcefully pushed a strong “American Exceptionalism” rejuvenation narrative typified by his campaign slogan— “MAKE America Great Again!” Often Trump operationalizes this slogan in speeches as “we need to take America back” or some derivation thereof. To what degree do people agree with the message? And why? Republicans are much more likely than Democrats…

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Trump’s “America First” in Historical Context: Historical Resonance of Anti-Immigrant Rhetoric

Trump has been winning on his “Make America Great Again” appeal. His message has a strong “American-First” and “Nativist” undertone which resonates. How has this rhetoric played out over time? Is it on the rise in the US? Simple answer is no; it is not on the rise. Indeed, it is quite stable over the…

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Social Media May Not Be the Democratic Force We Thought It Was

On Federal Election Day, 2015, over 770,000 Tweets were sent out into the Twittersphere in Canada, but new data shows that the high volume of social media posts may not be reaching a new audience. Despite the early promise and the increased use of social media to discuss politics and policy issues, fewer Canadians have…

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Trump’s “America First” in Global Context: Global Resonance of Anti-Immigrant Rhetoric

Trump has been winning on his “Make America Great” appeal His message has a strong “American-First” and “Anti-Immigrant” undertone which resonates with the Republican base. How does this rhetoric play out in global context? A strong plurality of global citizens (41%) believes that immigrants take jobs away from their countrymen. Additionally, a near majority of…

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Republicans seen as stronger on Terrorism: Impact of Brussels-like events on US politics

Electorally speaking, terrorist attacks like the one in Brussels are more likely to benefit Republicans than Democrats. Republicans historically have been seen as more credible on “terrorism” and “foreign policy”. The March 2016 Ipsos/Reuters poll puts Republicans at a 7-point advantage on “the war on terror”. Typically, after an attack, public concern about terrorism spikes…

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