Articles Posted in Public Affairs


Reflection on the French Presidential Election: “Change” the graveyard of incumbents

I have been meaning to comment on the French presidential elections for some time.

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Obama and the Youth Vote: Losing His Grip?

Obama may have reason to be nervous about declining among young voters this year.

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Healthcare Reform Revisited: the Devil is in the Details

Several weeks ago the Supreme Court reviewed part of President Obama’s 2010 healthcare reform (the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act). Specifically, they examined the “individual mandate” that requires (almost) all Americans to have some sort of insurance coverage. The Supreme Court review has put “Obamacare” back in the crosshairs of public debate and the debate has not been kind.

In particular, many professional pundits and Republican politicians have been quite negative about the law’s prospects. They maintain that Obama’s signature healthcare initiative is not long for this world and presents a serious electoral weakness for the President. They point out that Obamacare finds very little support among public opinion in both past and present public opinion polls (RealClearPolitics.com).  And many experts attribute the large Republican gains during the 2010 mid-terms to the use of “Obamacare” as an effective wedge issue (as in here or counterpoint here).  The healthcare reform’s lack of popular support, together with a Supreme Court somewhat predisposed against the Democrats on economic issues, is bad news for Obama’s agenda and record, or so the argument goes.

Is this a fair assessment of healthcare reform?

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Obama Not Losing Ground among Women

Have Democratic strategist Hilary Rosen’s comments about Ann Romney, and the resulting debate about the role of women in and out of the workplace in general, hurt Obama’s chances among women? Fortunately for the president that doesn’t seem to be the case.

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Obama’s economy

On some of the most crucial attributes, including jobs and the economy, healthcare and representing change, Barack Obama was seen by the majority of Americans as the most credible candidate. Unfortunately for the President, this path looks like it probably will not work twice.

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Consumer Confidence and the Election

As Cliff pointed out in his earlier post Barack Obama’s chances for reelection are more reliant on the sentiment of the American Public (desire for change vs desire for continuity) than the tactics of the campaign. In upcoming posts, Cliff will further detail how he calculates the desire for change typology. Today I wanted to share some quick data on a single component, the economy and consumer confidence.

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Spring Cleaning: Ipsos Polling in the Ohio and Florida Republican Primaries

I wanted to share note on some polling which predates this blog.  Ipsos, together with its media partner Thomson Reuters, conducted online polls in both the Florida and Ohio Republican primaries.  In these states, we conducted multi-wave rolling samples that went up to the day before the election.

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What is Obama’s Headache in 2013? A Republican Controlled Congress

As I discussed in my previous post (Much Ado About Nothing), excluding some random event or intervention from a higher power, Obama will be the president in 2013.  This, of course, begs the next question: Will Obama be able to govern, or should he expect four years of political gridlock?

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Much ado about nothing: Obama will be president, again, in 2013

Many of us have watched transfixed as the Republican Party participates in a ‘no holds barred’ fratricide primary season. The heir apparent—Mitt Romney—is a weak front runner, at best, but has taken shots from all the conservative pretenders that have tried to supplant him—first Bachmann, then Perry, Cain, Gingrich, and finally Santorum. However, the smart money remains on Romney to take the nomination because he leads in all the important leading indicators: money, delegates, electability, perceived leadership ability, etc. Intrade, that handy barometer of conventional wisdom, has Romney’s chances of winning at 93%.

Ultimately though, does any of this drama really matter? Will it really affect the outcome of the election in November?

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Enhanced employability for those who study overseas

A recent Ipsos study found that most US employers are extremely favorable towards job candidates who have studied overseas, and that most consider degrees from the UK to be equal to or better than those earned in the US.

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