Articles Posted in Public Affairs


Incumbency is King! Political Fundamentals Put Dems and Clinton’s Odds at Only 30%

Polls, pundits and even bookmakers have already elected President Hillary Clinton. However, at this point in the Game of Oval Office Thrones, models are better oracles than polls – and the models do not like her odds.

Hillary a Slam Dunk, Right?

We are still twenty months out from the US presidential election and ten months from the first primary, but the electoral season is in full swing. Already many pundits are speculating about who will and will not take the White House in November of 2016. At the moment, Hillary Clinton is the consensus favorite. Most cite her polling numbers, popular appeal to women, and formidable war chest.

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Infographic: Mental Health on the Minds of Canadians

Ahead of mental health week, we asked 2,010 Canadians about their experience with mental health issues like stress and depression. The results reveal a disconnect between how Canadians are assessing their own mental state and the actual impact these issues are having on their lives.

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Americans Spring into Self-Improvement


If you could only change one thing this year, which of the following areas would you choose? Before you answer… Winning Powerball, Sailing to Greece, or receiving a lifetime gift certificate for free Chinese food at Imperial Garden, are not on the list of answers. Does that make it tougher? For me, maybe, but for the rest of the USA, probably not.

In a recent survey conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs, “Americans Spring Into Self-Improvement: 2015 Goals”, we ask the tough questions which challenge your waistline balance, and passbook saving account balance.

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Have Your Say on the IMHOIpsos Forum for Engaged Canadians

We ask Canadians all kinds of questions every day. Some questions are for our clients, others are for us. For the most part it’s a one way street – we ask, they answer – which is why this year we launched a new online discussion forum for two-way dialogue on important issues of the day.…

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Perils of Perception

Join Darrell Bricker, Global CEO of Ipsos Public Affairs, as he discusses the results of Ipsos’ recent global survey, the Perils of Perception.

This 14 country study looks at how accurate – or inaccurate – people are when asked to estimate basic facts about their population or social issues.

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Why Bother with Likely Voters

The Ipsos approach to likely voters involves asking multiple questions, assigning each person a score based on their responses, and reporting on likely voters based on expected turnout… So what? Why do we go to all this trouble to build a sophisticated  (and expensive!) likely voter model? We do it because likely voter model construction…

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Formulating Likely Voters — Ipsos’ Approach

In the reporting of public opinion, there are few widely-discussed concepts that are as confusing or misunderstood as “likely voters”. Many poll observers think likely voters are a hard and fast classification with clear definitions; this could not be further from the truth. The reality is the construction of likely voter identification is extremely variable…

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Are Gas Prices Pumping Up Consumer Spending?

I’ve never fancied myself as a DJ Scream fan, but when he rips into his anthem ballad, “How low can you go, how low can you go”, how can any of us not get down with the total awesomeness we see every day at the gas pumps, as prices plummet all over the United States?…

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What’s the Deal with Black Friday Shopping?

Arrrggghhh… it’s Black Friday, it’s Black Friday! I’ve got to get to www.blackfriday.com and click on the massive red button that says “Hot Deals” before I hit the stores, crash the registers, and stuff the presents into my brown AMC Pacer station wagon bought by my father for $500 back when I was 17 years…

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2014 U.S. Elections Recap

Ipsos Public Affairs had a busy 2014 full of electoral research centered around the 2014 U.S. midterm election. In fact, we – in partnership with Thomson Reuters – likely have the most complete electoral research program in the United States today. This post is an overview of our work in 2014,  and the follow-up series…

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