Articles Posted in Public Affairs


To Grill or Not to Grill

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To grill, or not to grill, that is the question my dear Ophelia? I know, I know wrong Shakespeare character.

In a recent Ipsos Public Affairs survey, Is Outdoor Cooking America’s Favorite Summer Pastime?, we explore America’s passion for grilling, spending time with friends, and enjoying a refreshing summer cocktail. It seems as if quite a bit of us escape the kitchen heat for the backyard grill. Eight in ten (81%) cook outside during the summer months, on average about six times per month, and almost 1 out of every 2 Americans (49%), feel cooking outside is the #1 best thing about preparing meals at home during the summer.

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American Partisan Support for U.S. Iran Policy

Foreign policy is traditionally a strength of the Republican Party. Americans often prefer Republican positions on international issues particularly in situations that involve conflict. However, part of the core rationale for Barack Obama’s candidacy in 2008 was his opposition to the war in Iraq. Can history repeat itself and can Obama’s nuanced approach to foreign…

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Education levels among U.S. Elected Officials Part Two

By Saide Ashaboglu Last post (link) we discussed how U.S. politicians’ education levels differed from the general population, which yielded an interesting comparison.  Fora second deep dive, we decided to look at differences between the Democratic and Republican parties. The politicians we looked at hold office as Representatives, Senators, and Governors. One question that intrigued…

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Values of Observational Research

Fundamentally, research is about answering questions.  Want to find out why are plants green? Do some research with a botanist. Want to know how gravity works? Do some research with a physicist. Want to know who won the 1977 World Series? Do some research with a historian.  But if we have a question about what…

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2016 Turnout Projection Update – June 2015

In recent posts I’ve outlined how we plan to use our Reuters/Ipsos survey data to forecast turnout for the 2016 presidential election and shown where we stand – with our way too early estimate – as of May 2015. In this post, I’d like to bring in some other proof points, expand our analysis a bit and update our turnout projections.

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Likely voter models and projecting turnout

Returning to the Ipsos approach to likely voters, we have set up a method that allows us fine grained control over our model to match the actual turnout rates (here, here and here). Of course, the perceptive polling connoisseur would ask, “great you can match to turnout, how do you know what turnout is going…

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2016 Turnout Projection – May 2015 Edition

Now that we have a model allowing us to forecast turnout for upcoming U.S. elections (link), what does our data tell us about the 2016 contest? In our way-too-early projection, the Reuters/Ipsos poll data for May 2015 indicates that 2016 turnout will be about 50% of the voting age population. With almost 18 months until election…

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Incumbency is King! Political Fundamentals Put Dems and Clinton’s Odds at Only 30%

Polls, pundits and even bookmakers have already elected President Hillary Clinton. However, at this point in the Game of Oval Office Thrones, models are better oracles than polls – and the models do not like her odds.

Hillary a Slam Dunk, Right?

We are still twenty months out from the US presidential election and ten months from the first primary, but the electoral season is in full swing. Already many pundits are speculating about who will and will not take the White House in November of 2016. At the moment, Hillary Clinton is the consensus favorite. Most cite her polling numbers, popular appeal to women, and formidable war chest.

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Infographic: Mental Health on the Minds of Canadians

Ahead of mental health week, we asked 2,010 Canadians about their experience with mental health issues like stress and depression. The results reveal a disconnect between how Canadians are assessing their own mental state and the actual impact these issues are having on their lives.

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Americans Spring into Self-Improvement


If you could only change one thing this year, which of the following areas would you choose? Before you answer… Winning Powerball, Sailing to Greece, or receiving a lifetime gift certificate for free Chinese food at Imperial Garden, are not on the list of answers. Does that make it tougher? For me, maybe, but for the rest of the USA, probably not.

In a recent survey conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs, “Americans Spring Into Self-Improvement: 2015 Goals”, we ask the tough questions which challenge your waistline balance, and passbook saving account balance.

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