Articles Posted in Public Affairs


Media manipulating same data to drive different narratives

You can find the original version of this article in The Hill.  We pollsters frequently make claims about the beliefs of “most Americans.” We make these generalizations to help make complicated patterns in data easier to understand. However, in the reporting of our work, we often see these broad simplifications stretched to almost caricature-levels, leading…

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Americans Familiar with Affordable Care Act are its Strongest Supporters

A unique new study Ipsos/NPR study shows that opinions vary dramatically as does the understanding of key facts

People have opinions. That’s a fact. In the democratic process, citizens express their opinions directly by voting. In a perfect democracy – the democracy many policy makers and pundits think we live in – citizens make those decisions based on the facts in a well-informed, rational way. Voters ideally should understand the issues and then vote in the way that benefits them and advances their views.

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Widespread Pessimism or Glimmers of Hope? US Consumer Confidence After the 2016 Presidential Election

The 2016 US presidential election can be characterized by widespread discontent with the status quo. Indeed, a supermajority of Americans see the system as broken. And strong majorities across party lines believe that America is on the “wrong track”. However, American consumer confidence has strongly rebounded since the Great Recession (bottomed in 2009), showing especially…

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Attitudes Toward Trade

Americans are most focused on domestic issues: in particular, economy and jobs. A very strong majority of Americans see international trade as an important policy focus. However, they do have serious reservations and believe that the US gets the “short end of the stick” on trade deals. Specifically, they see international trade as a primary…

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Public Opinion & The Infrastructure Agenda

Shifting Paradigm Context The system is broken.  America is becoming increasingly polarized. Both parties use framing to push their problems. Why? There are increased immigration pressures with more non-white than white babies born in 2011. There is economic pressure on the middle class. 63% believe they are worse off than their parents.  Infrastructure & Public…

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No, You May Not “Unskew” My Polls: A Refresher

It seems that I need to re-up my 2012 post on “why having unequal numbers of Democrats and Republicans in polls is OK”. I was hoping after the massive failure of the “Unskewing Guy” in 2012 I wouldn’t have to revisit this, but it seems I’m wrong. If the amount of abusive emails and tweets…

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Canada’s Need to Address the Growing Digital Adoption Divide

A Canadian digital strategy has been slow in coming.  The 2016 Budget saw a commitment of $500 million over a five-year period to support Canada’s priority to extend and enhance broadband access in rural and remote areas. As Canada’s new Innovation Agenda is consulting Canadians on how Canada can compete in the digital world, we…

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Road Rules or Road Rage?

The rules of the road used to feel sacrosanct. They were taught as best-practice to the first drivers of our Interstate highway system. A 1960s driver’s education film produced by General Motors used a traffic helicopter to show the impacts of bad driving behavior in that relatively new context. One section focuses on the all-important…

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Does Clinton’s 8-Point Lead Look Softer Than at First Blush? Clinton v. Trump on Policy & Personal Quality Matchups

Only 83 days until Election Day! It has been a rough couple of weeks for Trump and a correspondingly good few for Clinton.  She leads Trump by an average of about 8 points, looking across all the polls. As we head into this final stretch, key qualities—both policy positions and personal attributes—will come into greater…

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Why Likely Voters

A few weeks ago, the Reuters/Ipsos poll, along with other pollsters, began reporting on likely voters in addition to registered voters. In past years, we would make this change and go about our day with little comment, but as polling is increasingly scrutinized, and given Ipsos’ total commitment to transparency, we think it’s important to…

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