Articles Posted in Polls

Trudeau’s Liberals Gain Momentum: Are Canadians Ready for Change?

Since the 2011 federal election Justin Trudeau’s Liberals have gained in intended vote from 19% to 38% and now lead Stephen Harper’s Conservatives (31%) by 7 points.

Trudeau’s 19 point gain comes from both the Conservatives (down 9 points) and the NDP (24%) down 7 points since the 2011 election.

If the magic number for a majority is 40% the Liberals under Trudeau are in striking distance but does the Liberal rise represent a shift in Canadian’s expectations of government? Do we want the Liberals back in power because we have come to the realization that there is value in government? Do we believe that the problems we face, be they, declining health services, income inequality, global warming or an economy that is slow to create jobs across the country will be solved by a more active government? Or are we merely tired of the old and looking for a new style of leader and government?

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Likely Voters – You Have a Right to Know

In the latest “You Have a Right to Know” webisode, Darrell Bricker, Global CEO of Ipsos Public Affairs, looks at political polling including the differences between gen pop, eligible, likely, and true voters, methods of dealing with non-voters, and the pros and cons of various models used in political polling. The “You Have a Right to Know” series is designed for journalists and informed citizens who have an interest in better understanding how public polls are conducted and presented, as well as how they can evaluate poll integrity and quality.

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Big Data – You Have a Right to Know

In this video of Darrell Bricker’s popular ‘You Have a Right to Know’ series, Ipsos Public Affairs’ Global CEO shares his insights on Big Data, including why it’s important, and what you need to be aware of from a methodological standpoint.

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Infographic: Week Two of Ontario Election on Twitter (May 10-16)

Ontarians continue to talk politics on Twitter with the bulk of the conversations surrounding the Conservatives. The Tories are dominating the discussion with 62% of the mentions, while the Liberals (25%) and the NDP (12%) trail in the debate. While the share of weekly buzz may be in the Conservatives favour, the sentiment toward the PCs remained largely negative (59% negative, 8% positive and 33% neutral).

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Canadian Ethnic Group Use of the Internet and Twitter for Public Discourse

Some Canadians are riding the digital wave, while others are lagging behind as the internet and social media expand the number of ways people can express themselves, communicate and find information. We rolled up 20,000+ online interviews conducted in 2013 to identify which Canadian subgroups are using the internet and Twitter for social and political discourse.

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Observations on Healthcare Exchange Enrollment pt.2

With yesterday’s end (1) of the open enrollment period of the Affordable Care Act healthcare exchanges, I thought it might be time to revisit some of the data we’ve collected on the enrollees. One of the most frequently asked questions about … Read More…

Observations on Healthcare Exchange Enrollment

The biggest question that has surrounded the launch of the Affordable Care Act healthcare exchanges is whether they could attract enough “young invincibles” to make the enterprise financially sustainable. Or, would “adverse selection”  saddle the system with older, sicker customers … Read More…

All Presidents have their Waterloo: Reflections on Obama’s Declining Approval Ratings

The Obama administration is definitely in a funk.  Polls of all stripes have shown a strong decline in his approval ratings.  Indeed,  Pollster.com shows that from Obama’s inauguration in late January  to mid-December 2012 his approval ratings have dropped by about 11 points—51 to 42 (see below).

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Puget Sound residents avoid shopping (and football) over Thanksgiving holiday

A recent survey we conducted found that almost half (48%) of respondents from the Puget Sound area plan to limit their shopping and decorating time by being a dinner guest at someone else’s home on Thanksgiving. And regardless of whether … Read More…

Traditional or Digital? Canadians’ Conventional, Online and Social Media Use

With more people going online every day, media consumption habits have undeniably changed. But, has a shift towards digital replaced traditional mediums such as television and radio?

We asked Canadians about their daily media use and the results reveal traditional media use is still alive and well, and remains very widely used among Canadians.

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