The biggest question that has surrounded the launch of the Affordable Care Act healthcare exchanges is whether they could attract enough “young invincibles” to make the enterprise financially sustainable. Or, would “adverse selection” saddle the system with older, sicker customers … Read More…
Articles Posted in Politics
The Obama administration is definitely in a funk. Polls of all stripes have shown a strong decline in his approval ratings. Indeed, Pollster.com shows that from Obama’s inauguration in late January to mid-December 2012 his approval ratings have dropped by about 11 points—51 to 42 (see below).
The Brazilian presidential election is more than a year away. But already pundits and the odds-makers are assessing President Dilma’s chances of being reelected. For many, dark clouds are on her horizon. Why?
Some cite a very lethargic economy with inflation and unemployment ticking up. Others stress the recent widespread protests as a general sign of the public’s discontent with Dilma and the PT. Still others argue that the rise of the middle class has shifted voter priorities from the economy and jobs to quality of life issues like healthcare, crime, transportation, and education, with the Dilma government being ill-prepared to meet these new demands.
Reuters, our U.S. and international media partner, has just launched a new interactive tool featuring Ipsos/Reuters polling data from the last 18 months and counting. Reuters Polling Explorer is based on 200,000+ interviews and we are continuously polling between 2,000 and 3,000 people a week.
Almost two-thirds (64%) of Americans believe that many low-income individuals receiving aid from the government are just looking for a free handout. The same Reuters/Ipsos tracking survey indicates that two thirds (65%) of Americans also believe that most of the … Read More…
In 2010, Dilma Rouseff, Lula’s handpicked successor, won easily in the second round run-off election against Jose Serra, the opposition candidate (Dilma 56% of vote versus 44% Serra). At the time, many analysts thought Dilma would stumble—lacking both the charisma and political skills of her predecessor Lula and, as a result, would lean heavily on Lula’s skills and credibility. Contrary to this popular belief , Dilma has established herself as a strong leader, with little tolerance for corruption, and a strong streak of independence.
Since hitting the lowest point in mid-2009, ratings of the national and local economies have seen fitful improvement. Americans (32% very good/somewhat good) are in the lower to middle of the pack in assessing the current economic situation in their country among the 24 countries studied. This measure has improved over the last couple months.
Today, Keynans will vote for a new president. The whole world is watching as well. Why? The last Kenyan presidential election in 2007 lead to widespread violence as supporters of Raila Odinga accused Mwai Kibaki and his supporters of stealing the election. Given that politics in Kenya is often strongly linked to tribal affiliation, much of the violence was directed by members of one tribe toward those of another. At its core, much of the violence found its origins in many long-standing economic grievances. Against this backdrop, the international community has kept a close eye on this election.
One constitutional change resulting from the violence in 2007 was that if no one candidate gets a majority of the votes, there will automatically be a second round run-off election between the top two vote getters within 30 days of the first round election-day.