Articles Posted in Politics

Observations on Healthcare Exchange Enrollment pt.2

With yesterday’s end (1) of the open enrollment period of the Affordable Care Act healthcare exchanges, I thought it might be time to revisit some of the data we’ve collected on the enrollees. One of the most frequently asked questions about … Read More…

Observations on Healthcare Exchange Enrollment

The biggest question that has surrounded the launch of the Affordable Care Act healthcare exchanges is whether they could attract enough “young invincibles” to make the enterprise financially sustainable. Or, would “adverse selection”  saddle the system with older, sicker customers … Read More…

All Presidents have their Waterloo: Reflections on Obama’s Declining Approval Ratings

The Obama administration is definitely in a funk.  Polls of all stripes have shown a strong decline in his approval ratings.  Indeed,  Pollster.com shows that from Obama’s inauguration in late January  to mid-December 2012 his approval ratings have dropped by about 11 points—51 to 42 (see below).

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Incumbency is still King: Brazil’s Dilma is still the favorite in 2014, even after the protests.

The Brazilian presidential election is more than a year away. But already pundits and the odds-makers are assessing President Dilma’s chances of being reelected.  For many, dark clouds are on her horizon.  Why?

Some cite a very lethargic economy with inflation and unemployment ticking up.  Others stress the recent widespread protests as a general sign of the public’s discontent with Dilma and the PT.  Still others argue that the rise of the middle class has shifted voter priorities from the economy and jobs to quality of life issues like healthcare, crime, transportation, and education, with the Dilma government being ill-prepared to meet these new demands.

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Reuters Polling Explorer: 18 Months of Data, 200,000+ Interviews & Counting

Reuters, our U.S. and international media partner, has just launched a new interactive tool featuring Ipsos/Reuters polling data from the last 18 months and counting. Reuters Polling Explorer is based on 200,000+ interviews and we are continuously polling between 2,000 and 3,000 people a week.

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52% of Canadians are ‘Engaged’ with Public Policy, Social and Political Issues Online

There are thousands of conversations happening about issues and organizations each day. As more people go online everyday they are defining the issues we discuss and making their voices heard. The growing popularity of social media use around the world has compounded the number of these conversations and provided a platform for thoughts, opinions and influence to spread quickly – far and wide.

Using our 24-country monthly Global @dvisor survey, we have been tracking online behaviour and the use of social media as it relates to discussion about public policy, social and political issues. Our latest study reveals more than half (52%) of Canadians are using social media either ‘actively’ (29%) to make their voices heard or ‘passively’ (23%) to gain a greater understanding of the issues.

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The “Fuzzy” Concept of Welfare: Conflicting Views on the Welfare System in America

Almost two-thirds (64%) of Americans believe that many low-income individuals receiving aid from the government are just looking for a free handout. The same Reuters/Ipsos tracking survey indicates that two thirds (65%) of Americans also believe that most of the … Read More…

Storm clouds on the Brazilian horizon? President Dilma’s poll numbers and her reelection chances

In 2010, Dilma Rouseff, Lula’s handpicked successor, won easily in the second round run-off election against Jose Serra, the opposition candidate (Dilma 56% of vote versus 44% Serra).  At the time, many analysts thought Dilma would stumble—lacking both the charisma and political skills of her predecessor Lula and, as a result, would lean heavily on Lula’s skills and credibility.  Contrary to this popular belief , Dilma has established herself as a strong leader, with little tolerance for corruption, and a strong streak of independence.

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Americans Assess the National Economy and their Personal Finances

Since hitting the lowest point in mid-2009, ratings of the national and local economies have seen fitful improvement. Americans (32% very good/somewhat good) are in the lower to middle of the pack in assessing the current economic situation in their country among the 24 countries studied. This measure has improved over the last couple months.

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Teetering on the edge: The 2013 Kenyan Presidential election

Today, Keynans will vote for a new president.  The whole world is watching as well.  Why?  The last Kenyan presidential election in 2007 lead to widespread violence as supporters of Raila Odinga accused Mwai Kibaki and his supporters of stealing the election. Given that politics in Kenya is often strongly linked to tribal affiliation, much of the violence was directed by members of one tribe toward those of another. At its core, much of the violence found its origins in many long-standing economic grievances. Against this backdrop, the international community has kept a close eye on this election.

One constitutional change resulting from the violence in 2007 was that if no one candidate gets a majority of the votes, there will automatically be a second round run-off election between the top two vote getters within 30 days of the first round election-day.

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