Articles Posted in News


Energizing the Base: Trump’s Immigration Policy and Its Effect

Over the last week or so the polls have narrowed: where Clinton had an 8-point lead over Trump, they are now in a near dead heat. The question, of course, is why?  The reasons, in my mind, are diverse yet interrelated. First, part of this narrowing is the natural regression to the mean which we…

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Let Your Innovation Garden Grow

I often tell my clients that innovating is like being a gardener: When you use the right tools at the right time, amazing things happen. But if you use the wrong tools at the wrong time, you’ll end up disappointed. For instance, Stimulated Test Markets (STMs) are a very common tool used as part of…

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TOMAmeter July 2016: Seasonal Events Start to Take the Spotlight

With the Olympics just a month away, it’s no surprise to see that the 2016 Rio Olympics is the latest new entry into the TOMAmeter at #6, as pre-Olympics previews and Olympics trials wrap up and athletes begin to travel to Brazil. Coverage of the Olympics will be at its peak during the month of…

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Canadian Views on the North American Free Trade Agreement

On the eve of the Republican Convention and as Donald Trump (if elected President) is poised to renegotiate or break NAFTA, we asked Canadians how they feel about the agreement that has governed US/Canada/Mexico trade since 1994. Overall Canadians support NAFTA more than ever (now at 79% vs 64% in 2001).  Canadians are also more…

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TOMAmeter June 2016 – Game of Thrones Continues to Rule the Roost!

With season 6 of Game of Thrones ending in June 2016, the show continued to be at the top of the Top 20’s list, with Orange is the New Black coming in second following its June 17th premiere on Netflix – a big rise from the #9 rank it had last month. Though Game of…

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TOMAmeter May 2016 – Game of Thrones Mania Hits Its Peak

The end of the 2015-2016 broadcast season and the start of the summer TV season brings the annual tradition that is Game of Thrones-mania to the forefront of  the TV world. Game of Thrones took the #1 spot across almost all demographics, with The Walking Dead following close behind. Other big movers for the month…

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It’s Nativism: Explaining the Drivers of Trump’s Popular Support

Introduction A year ago who would have believed it—Trump the presumptive nominee for the Republican party! For the longest time, most expected Trump would implode. But to the prognosticators chagrin this did not happen. I personally began to question my own assumptions about Trump during the summer of 2015. At that time, Trump was in…

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Trump is a symptom of the decline of American institutions

Donald Trump (and to a lesser degree Bernie Sanders) are contemporary political phenomenon. The two outsider candidates — one having essentially won a major party nomination, the other still mounting a significant challenge– have enjoyed more success than any other “outsider” candidate in a generation. The question we hear more often than any is: how…

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TOMAmeter April 2016 – Game of Thrones is Coming

The month of April brings with it the rise of HBO’s Game of Thrones, which fell just a few mentions short of AMC’s The Walking Dead despite only premiering toward the back half of the month. In fact, among several key demographic groups, including P18-49, Game of Thrones surpassed AMC’s zombie show for the month.…

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Poll Modeling Says: No, Bernie Sanders Is Not More Electable

Bernie Sanders, facing a virtually insurmountable climb to win the Democratic nomination through pledged delegates, has turned to trying to convince superdelegates that he is more electable. Sanders is doing this by pointing at current polling which does indeed show him performing stronger against Donald Trump or the other Republicans than Hillary Clinton. As a pollster, I’d like to make sure folks understand that this “theory” is got more than a touch of wishful thinking in it.

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